Environmental conditions over the western Caribbean Sea and the southern Gulf of Mexico are conducive for development.
The Atlantic basin includes the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.
The main impacts, there, will include bands of locally heavy rain, elevated surf, and some stronger wind gusts.
Meanwhile, 20 inches of rain is possible in Costa Rica and Panama, with Honduras likely to get between two and five inches. The rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
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The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb.
After that it's highly uncertain where it could go - except north. It remains too soon to tell where exactly this landfall will occur.
A storm that reaches Category 1 status has the potential to reach Category 2 or 3 (major hurricane) status in a matter of hours.
If it stays on this course, the Tampa Bay area could experience an indirect impact, including higher surf and rip currents next weekend and into the following week, Gilmore said. The European model turns the system more toward the right into the big bend area of Florida's Gulf Coast, while the American model steers the system north-northwest toward New Orleans.
You can monitor both systems along with updates to your local forecast on our WBRC weather app. Both could bring rain, but the more dominant feature resides by Nicaragua in Central America.
Meanwhile, a trough of low pressure located over Cuba and near the northwestern Bahamas is producing a large area of disorganized showers and gusty winds.